3.1 Introduction to predicting the future of FinTech

Predicting the future is easy, but being right in what you are predicting is hard. One challenge in regard to understanding the impact of change in the future is that the pace of change is often more important than the eventual nature of market evolution. If change is fast, large established firms are likely to be disrupted and face new competitors that will challenge prior industry structures. When change is slower, or more evolutionary in nature, large firms have time to adapt and thrive in spite of change (although it still may be hard to change culture, even if the changes are slow). In this module, we will examine both the evolution of FinTech markets and capabilities, and the likely pace of changes.

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